sports

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-20 Volume$99,550 Open Interest$70,416
YES
19¢
Implied probability: 19.0%
NO
81¢
Implied probability: 81.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 19¢ · High 19¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
19¢
NO Price
81¢
Total Volume
$99,550
Open Interest
$70,416
Expiration
2026-07-20
Days Left
26
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credi

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 19¢ means the market is pricing in a 19.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($99,550) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($70,416) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credi

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-20, 26 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 19¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 81¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 19¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 19.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $99,550 in total traded volume and $70,416 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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