Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the y
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 15¢ means the market is pricing in a 15.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,752) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($25,783) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 1¢ | $979,240 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 14¢ | $978,635 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | 60¢ | $962,317 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the y
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 122 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 15¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 84¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 15¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 15.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,752 in total traded volume and $25,783 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.