economy

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-01 Volume$97,449 Open Interest$2,375
YES
32¢
Implied probability: 32.5%
NO
67¢
Implied probability: 67.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 32¢ · High 32¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
32¢
NO Price
67¢
Total Volume
$97,449
Open Interest
$2,375
Expiration
2026-07-01
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the spe

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 32¢ means the market is pricing in a 32.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($97,449) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,375) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
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Will the **high temp in LA** be 73-74° on Jun 23, 2026: 73° to 74° $78,390
Will the **high temp in LA** be 71-72° on Jun 23, 2026: 71° to 72° 99¢ $74,903
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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the spe

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-01, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 32¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 68¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 32¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 32.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $97,449 in total traded volume and $2,375 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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