Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?
What resolves this contract
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 97¢ means the market is pricing in a 97.1% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,502) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($14,949) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,907,173 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | 34¢ | $988,802 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | 1¢ | $988,069 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-18, 47 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 97¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 3¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 97¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 97.1% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,502 in total traded volume and $14,949 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.