politics

Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-06-30 Volume$9,776 Open Interest$15,216
YES
84¢
Implied probability: 84.5%
NO
15¢
Implied probability: 15.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 83¢ · High 84¢ · Δ +1.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
84¢
NO Price
15¢
Total Volume
$9,776
Open Interest
$15,216
Expiration
2026-06-30
Days Left
70
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 84¢ means the market is pricing in a 84.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,776) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($15,216) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $9,853,347
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? $9,734,845
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $9,627,714
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-30, 70 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 84¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 16¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 84¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 84.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,776 in total traded volume and $15,216 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-21. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.