Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 52¢ means the market is pricing in a 52.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,810) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,802) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27? | 1¢ | $990,329 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 2¢ | $987,093 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 27¢ | $975,059 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-10-31, 103 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 52¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 48¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 52¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 52.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,810 in total traded volume and $3,802 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.