sports

Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-08-03 Volume$9,637 Open Interest$2,334
YES
72¢
Implied probability: 72.0%
NO
28¢
Implied probability: 28.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 72¢ · High 72¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
72¢
NO Price
28¢
Total Volume
$9,637
Open Interest
$2,334
Expiration
2026-08-03
Days Left
35
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Kylian Mbappe scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Kylian Mbappe does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:5

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 72¢ means the market is pricing in a 72.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,637) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,334) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Kylian Mbappe scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Kylian Mbappe does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:5

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-08-03, 35 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 72¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 28¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 72¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 72.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,637 in total traded volume and $2,334 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-29. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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