Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 20?
What resolves this contract
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream end
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 55¢ means the market is pricing in a 55.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,876) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($7,170) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | 5¢ | $987,043 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | 2¢ | $982,024 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 18¢ | $977,845 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat ends his Twitch broadcast of the marathon between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the time (ET) that Kai Cenat's Twitch channel stops broadcasting a livestream of the marathon. To qualify, Kai Cenat must not resume the marathon broadcast within 12 hours of ending it. This market will stay open for 12 hours after the stream end
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-20, 9 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 55¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 44¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 55¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 55.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,876 in total traded volume and $7,170 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.