Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
What resolves this contract
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 78¢ means the market is pricing in a 78.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,841) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($14,344) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1¢ | $9,736,929 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 7¢ | $9,575,673 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,535,950 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-18, 4 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 78¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 21¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 78¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 78.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,841 in total traded volume and $14,344 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.