Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?
What resolves this contract
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 87¢ means the market is pricing in a 87.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,592) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($11,250) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 3¢ | $988,250 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 28¢ | $978,613 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27? | 1¢ | $978,356 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-04, 11 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 87¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 12¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 87¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 87.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,592 in total traded volume and $11,250 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.