Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforement
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 35¢ means the market is pricing in a 35.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,944) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,087) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1¢ | $997,862 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 1¢ | $996,345 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 20¢ | $993,737 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforement
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-02-12, 195 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 35¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 64¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 35¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 35.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,944 in total traded volume and $2,087 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.