world

Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-08-02 Volume$9,992 Open Interest$2,339
YES
87¢
Implied probability: 87.4%
NO
12¢
Implied probability: 12.6%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 87¢ · High 87¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
87¢
NO Price
12¢
Total Volume
$9,992
Open Interest
$2,339
Expiration
2026-08-02
Days Left
99
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 87¢ means the market is pricing in a 87.4% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,992) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,339) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran participates in any official game at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran of the nation’s removal or withdrawal from the 2026 FIFA World Cup will immediately resolve this market "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA and/or the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-08-02, 99 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 87¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 13¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 87¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 87.4% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,992 in total traded volume and $2,339 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-25. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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