Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible r
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 49¢ means the market is pricing in a 49.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,587) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,489) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | 1¢ | $9,759,439 |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | 1¢ | $992,902 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 14¢ | $978,691 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible r
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2028-12-31, 851 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 49¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 50¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 49¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 49.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,587 in total traded volume and $2,489 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.