Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
What resolves this contract
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually ap
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 34¢ means the market is pricing in a 34.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,549) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,184) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 1¢ | $9,736,929 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 7¢ | $9,586,800 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,562,182 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually ap
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-04-17, 246 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 34¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 66¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 34¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 34.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,549 in total traded volume and $2,184 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.