politics

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-12-31 Volume$9,964 Open Interest$8,377
YES
58¢
Implied probability: 58.5%
NO
41¢
Implied probability: 41.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 52¢ · High 58¢ · Δ +1.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
58¢
NO Price
41¢
Total Volume
$9,964
Open Interest
$8,377
Expiration
2026-12-31
Days Left
251
About this market

What resolves this contract

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of Ameri

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 58¢ means the market is pricing in a 58.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,964) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($8,377) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $9,905,318
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? $9,761,028
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? $9,679,905
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of Ameri

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-12-31, 251 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 58¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 42¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 58¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 58.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,964 in total traded volume and $8,377 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.