Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policie
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 77¢ means the market is pricing in a 77.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,604) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,236) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1¢ | $9,812,082 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | 1¢ | $9,730,918 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,724,958 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policie
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-04-24, 4 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 77¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 23¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 77¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 77.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,604 in total traded volume and $2,236 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.