Will Donald Trump be shown 6-8 times at the World Cup Final?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to the number of times Donald Trump is shown on-screen, between game kickoff and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final on FOX. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Donald Trump is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Donald Trump is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is cancelled or postponed past July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary res
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 5¢ means the market is pricing in a 5.9% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,742) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($963) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 27¢ | $9,880,408 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,857,279 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | 3¢ | $968,217 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to the number of times Donald Trump is shown on-screen, between game kickoff and the final whistle, during the official broadcast of the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final on FOX. "Times" refers to discrete instances where Donald Trump is clearly visible. These instances must be separated by shots where Donald Trump is not clearly visible on screen. If this game is cancelled or postponed past July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only live appearances count (commercials and videos recorded in the past won't count). The primary res
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-19. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 5¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 94¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 5¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 5.9% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,742 in total traded volume and $963 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.