sports

Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-04-23 Volume$96,099 Open Interest$4,734
YES
40¢
Implied probability: 40.5%
NO
59¢
Implied probability: 59.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 40¢ · High 40¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
40¢
NO Price
59¢
Total Volume
$96,099
Open Interest
$4,734
Expiration
2026-04-23
Days Left
2
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 40¢ means the market is pricing in a 40.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($96,099) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($4,734) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted second overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-04-23, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 40¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 60¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 40¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 40.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $96,099 in total traded volume and $4,734 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-21. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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