Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?
What resolves this contract
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 77¢ means the market is pricing in a 77.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,978) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($17,249) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,906,744 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | 2¢ | $986,413 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | 68¢ | $96,233 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-11, 11 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 77¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 23¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 77¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 77.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,978 in total traded volume and $17,249 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.