economy

Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-03-24 Volume$972 Open Interest$320
YES
60¢
Implied probability: 60.4%
NO
39¢
Implied probability: 39.6%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 60¢ · High 60¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
60¢
NO Price
39¢
Total Volume
$972
Open Interest
$320
Expiration
2026-03-24
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 60¢ means the market is pricing in a 60.4% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($972) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($320) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-03-24. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 60¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 40¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 60¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 60.4% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $972 in total traded volume and $320 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.