Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 89¢ means the market is pricing in a 89.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,762) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($642) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | 1¢ | $985,704 |
| Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | 1¢ | $981,315 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | 42¢ | $9,896 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 108 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 89¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 10¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 89¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 89.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,762 in total traded volume and $642 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.