crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2027-01-01 Volume$976,270 Open Interest$65,895
YES
14¢
Implied probability: 14.5%
NO
85¢
Implied probability: 85.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 14¢ · High 14¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
14¢
NO Price
85¢
Total Volume
$976,270
Open Interest
$65,895
Expiration
2027-01-01
Days Left
213
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 14¢ means the market is pricing in a 14.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($976,270) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($65,895) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Also available on Kalshi

Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange

Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.

MarketYESVolume
Bitcoin price range on Jun 2, 2026: $82,250 or above $19
Bitcoin price range on Jun 2, 2026: $62,749.99 or below $0
Bitcoin price range on Jun 2, 2026: $82,000 to 82,249.99 $0
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? $978,506
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? 60¢ $99,997
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? 38¢ $98,178
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 213 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 14¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 86¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 14¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 14.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $976,270 in total traded volume and $65,895 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-02. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.