Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart set
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 80¢ means the market is pricing in a 80.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($97,684) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($30,449) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Similar markets on the US-regulated exchange
Kalshi lists related contracts US traders can legally access. Spread is typically similar; liquidity varies.
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price range on Sep 5, 2026: $90,750 or above | 2¢ | $2 |
| Bitcoin price range on Sep 5, 2026: $71,249.99 or below | 1¢ | $0 |
| Bitcoin price range on Sep 5, 2026: $90,500 to 90,749.99 | 1¢ | $0 |
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | 12¢ | $99,463 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | 2¢ | $98,805 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 August 31-September 6? | 1¢ | $97,164 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart set
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2027-01-01, 119 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 80¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 20¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 80¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 80.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $97,684 in total traded volume and $30,449 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.