Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026?
What resolves this contract
This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026. If Carlos Alcaraz wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Jannik Sinner, this market will resolve to “Alcaraz”. If Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Carlos Alcaraz, this market will resolve to “Sinner”. If Alcaraz and Sinner win the same amount of Grand Slams in 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Only victories in Men’s Singles Grand Slam tournaments will be considered for this market’s resolution. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in th
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 50¢ means the market is pricing in a 50.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,599) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($8,746) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 10¢ | $981,190 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | 7¢ | $958,377 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | 4¢ | $99,663 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This is a market to predict whether Carlos Alcaraz or Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slam championships in 2026. If Carlos Alcaraz wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Jannik Sinner, this market will resolve to “Alcaraz”. If Jannik Sinner wins more Grand Slams in 2026 than Carlos Alcaraz, this market will resolve to “Sinner”. If Alcaraz and Sinner win the same amount of Grand Slams in 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. Only victories in Men’s Singles Grand Slam tournaments will be considered for this market’s resolution. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in th
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-09-13, 4 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 50¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 50¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 50¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 50.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,599 in total traded volume and $8,746 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.