economy

Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2028-01-01 Volume$9,706 Open Interest$1,956
YES
93¢
Implied probability: 93.0%
NO
Implied probability: 7.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 89¢ · High 93¢ · Δ +4.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account → Gemini · Trade $100, get $20 Prediction markets on a regulated US crypto exchange. Gemini is the NYDFS-regulated exchange offering prediction markets alongside spot crypto. New users who trade $100 get $20. Affiliate link; we may earn a commission at no cost to you. Claim the offer →
YES Price
93¢
NO Price
Total Volume
$9,706
Open Interest
$1,956
Expiration
2028-01-01
Days Left
519
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 93¢ means the market is pricing in a 93.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,706) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,956) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? $997,212
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? $996,160
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? $995,118
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if 3Jane officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only an official token launched by 3Jane will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2028-01-01, 519 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 93¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 7¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 93¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 93.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,706 in total traded volume and $1,956 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-31. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.