sports

UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-04-26 Volume$9,884 Open Interest$29,544
YES
42¢
Implied probability: 42.5%
NO
57¢
Implied probability: 57.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 42¢ · High 42¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
42¢
NO Price
57¢
Total Volume
$9,884
Open Interest
$29,544
Expiration
2026-04-26
Days Left
3
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcus Buchecha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcus Buchecha" if Marcus Buchecha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 42¢ means the market is pricing in a 42.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,884) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($29,544) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Ryan Spann" if Ryan Spann is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marcus Buchecha at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Marcus Buchecha" if Marcus Buchecha is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-04-26, 3 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 42¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 57¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 42¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 42.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,884 in total traded volume and $29,544 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-23. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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