O/U 4.5 Rounds
What resolves this contract
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. "Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored,
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 57¢ means the market is pricing in a 57.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($10,000) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,095) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | 1¢ | $988,169 |
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 17¢ | $978,159 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | 6¢ | $99,560 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 5. "Under 4.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 5. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored,
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-08-16, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 57¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 43¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 57¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 57.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $10,000 in total traded volume and $2,095 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.