UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Dom Mar Fan" if Dom Mar Fan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 35¢ means the market is pricing in a 35.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,629) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($18,743) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 1¢ | $999,148 |
| Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | 7¢ | $997,332 |
| Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 3¢ | $962,002 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Dom Mar Fan" if Dom Mar Fan is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kody Steele at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026. It will resolve to "Kody Steele" if Kody Steele is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-05-03, 3 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 35¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 64¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 35¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 35.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,629 in total traded volume and $18,743 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.