sports

UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-12 Volume$9,790 Open Interest$17,956
YES
59¢
Implied probability: 59.5%
NO
40¢
Implied probability: 40.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 59¢ · High 59¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
59¢
NO Price
40¢
Total Volume
$9,790
Open Interest
$17,956
Expiration
2026-07-12
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Cory Sandhagen" if Cory Sandhagen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Bautista at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Mario Bautista" if Mario Bautista is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 59¢ means the market is pricing in a 59.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,790) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($17,956) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Cory Sandhagen" if Cory Sandhagen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mario Bautista at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Mario Bautista" if Mario Bautista is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-12, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 59¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 40¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 59¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 59.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,790 in total traded volume and $17,956 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-05. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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