sports

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-05-10 Volume$99,226 Open Interest$291,957
YES
56¢
Implied probability: 56.5%
NO
43¢
Implied probability: 43.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 56¢ · High 56¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
56¢
NO Price
43¢
Total Volume
$99,226
Open Interest
$291,957
Expiration
2026-05-10
Days Left
1
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkov" if Alexander Volkov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes-Acosta" if Waldo Cortes-Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 56¢ means the market is pricing in a 56.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($99,226) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($291,957) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Alexander Volkov" if Alexander Volkov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Waldo Cortes-Acosta" if Waldo Cortes-Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-05-10, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 56¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 44¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 56¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 56.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $99,226 in total traded volume and $291,957 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-05-09. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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