SpaceX vs Tesla - higher valuation on June 30?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for June 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest da
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 92¢ means the market is pricing in a 92.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,938) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($14,220) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | 1¢ | $9,851,314 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 1¢ | $998,115 |
| Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? | 1¢ | $990,596 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for June 30, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on July 1, 2026, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on July 4, 2026. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest da
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-01, 40 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 92¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 7¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 92¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 92.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,938 in total traded volume and $14,220 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.