Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statem
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 28¢ means the market is pricing in a 28.3% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,611) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($517) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | 6¢ | $982,336 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | 1¢ | $968,124 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1¢ | $967,170 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statem
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-11-03, 53 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 28¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 72¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 28¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 28.3% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,611 in total traded volume and $517 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.