economy

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-09-30 Volume$9,630 Open Interest$35,054
YES
38¢
Implied probability: 38.0%
NO
62¢
Implied probability: 62.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 38¢ · High 38¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
38¢
NO Price
62¢
Total Volume
$9,630
Open Interest
$35,054
Expiration
2026-09-30
Days Left
93
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 38¢ means the market is pricing in a 38.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,630) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($35,054) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-09-30, 93 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 38¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 62¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 38¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 38.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,630 in total traded volume and $35,054 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-29. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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