economy

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-22 Volume$9,710 Open Interest$227,125
YES
38¢
Implied probability: 38.5%
NO
61¢
Implied probability: 61.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 38¢ · High 38¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
38¢
NO Price
61¢
Total Volume
$9,710
Open Interest
$227,125
Expiration
2026-07-22
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 38¢ means the market is pricing in a 38.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,710) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($227,125) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for July 22 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-22. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 38¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 62¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 38¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 38.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,710 in total traded volume and $227,125 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-22. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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