Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
What resolves this contract
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 16¢ means the market is pricing in a 16.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,880) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($17,893) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | 7¢ | $9,821,787 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 26¢ | $9,734,530 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 1¢ | $9,730,681 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and July 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-31, 21 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 16¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 84¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 16¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 16.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,880 in total traded volume and $17,893 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.