Will it rain in New York City on Saturday: Rain in NYC
What resolves this contract
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 78¢ means the market is pricing in a 78.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($942) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($649) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the high temp in LA be >80° on Jul 11, 2026: 81° or above | 1¢ | $78,092 |
| Will the high temp in LA be 73-74° on Jul 11, 2026: 73° to 74° | 37¢ | $31,877 |
| Will the high temp in LA be <73° on Jul 11, 2026: 72° or below | 1¢ | $17,903 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
If the number of inches of precipitation recorded at Central Park, New York on July 11, 2026 is strictly greater than 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-07-12, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 78¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 22¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 78¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 78.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $942 in total traded volume and $649 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.