Will the **high temp in NYC** be 85-86° on May 17, 2026: 85° to 86°
What resolves this contract
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 24¢ means the market is pricing in a 24.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($738) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($563) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 37¢ | $981,062 |
| Will the **high temp in LA** be >72° on May 16, 2026: 73° or above | 2¢ | $40,781 |
| Will the **high temp in NYC** be 82-83° on May 16, 2026: 82° to 83° | 8¢ | $30,905 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 17, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 85-86°, then the market resolves to Yes.
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-05-18, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 24¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 76¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 24¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 24.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $738 in total traded volume and $563 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.