weather

Will the high temp in Chicago be 79-80° on Jun 24, 2026: 79° to 80°

PlatformKalshi Expires2026-06-25 Volume$5,070 Open Interest$3,730
YES
11¢
Implied probability: 11.0%
NO
89¢
Implied probability: 89.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 11¢ · High 25¢ · Δ -14.0pp
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YES Price
11¢
NO Price
89¢
Total Volume
$5,070
Open Interest
$3,730
Expiration
2026-06-25
Days Left
1
About this market

What resolves this contract

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 24, 2026, is between 79-80° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 11¢ means the market is pricing in a 11.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($5,070) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($3,730) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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MarketYESVolume
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Will the **high temp in LA** be 74-75° on Jun 24, 2026: 74° to 75° $22,709
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 84-85° on Jun 24, 2026: 84° to 85° $22,109
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for June 24, 2026, is between 79-80° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-25, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 11¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 89¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 11¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 11.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $5,070 in total traded volume and $3,730 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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