weather

Will the high temp in Chicago be >63° on Apr 25, 2026: 64° or above

PlatformKalshi Expires2026-04-26 Volume$1,073 Open Interest$858
YES
Implied probability: 9.0%
NO
91¢
Implied probability: 91.0%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 9¢ · High 9¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. Open an account →
YES Price
NO Price
91¢
Total Volume
$1,073
Open Interest
$858
Expiration
2026-04-26
Days Left
2
About this market

What resolves this contract

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for April 25, 2026, is greater than 63° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 9.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($1,073) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($858) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 64-65° on Apr 24, 2026: 64° to 65° $48,160
Will the **high temp in NYC** be >67° on Apr 24, 2026: 68° or above 20¢ $41,956
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 66-67° on Apr 24, 2026: 66° to 67° 69¢ $33,579
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for April 25, 2026, is greater than 63° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-04-26, 2 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 9¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 91¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 9¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 9.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Kalshi. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $1,073 in total traded volume and $858 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-24. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.