Hugh Jackman as Wolverine?
What resolves this contract
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevan
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 85¢ means the market is pricing in a 85.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,643) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,332) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
| Market | YES | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | 1¢ | $998,753 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 3¢ | $988,351 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 26¢ | $979,622 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevan
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-12-18, 143 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 85¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 15¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 85¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 85.0% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,643 in total traded volume and $2,332 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.