economy

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-06-26 Volume$9,777 Open Interest$21,628
YES
52¢
Implied probability: 52.5%
NO
47¢
Implied probability: 47.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 52¢ · High 52¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
52¢
NO Price
47¢
Total Volume
$9,777
Open Interest
$21,628
Expiration
2026-06-26
Days Left
1
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No".

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 52¢ means the market is pricing in a 52.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,777) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($21,628) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? 35¢ $998,062
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? 36¢ $995,358
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? $977,810
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Norway and France, scheduled for June 26 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No".

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-26, 1 day from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 52¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 48¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 52¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 52.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,777 in total traded volume and $21,628 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-25. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.