economy

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-06-15 Volume$985,313 Open Interest$674,195
YES
55¢
Implied probability: 55.5%
NO
44¢
Implied probability: 44.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 55¢ · High 55¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
55¢
NO Price
44¢
Total Volume
$985,313
Open Interest
$674,195
Expiration
2026-06-15
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 55¢ means the market is pricing in a 55.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($985,313) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($674,195) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 15 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cabo Verde". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-15. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 55¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 44¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 55¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 55.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $985,313 in total traded volume and $674,195 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-15. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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