politics

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-15 Volume$9,985,704 Open Interest$2,123,269
YES
54¢
Implied probability: 54.1%
NO
45¢
Implied probability: 45.9%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 54¢ · High 54¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
54¢
NO Price
45¢
Total Volume
$9,985,704
Open Interest
$2,123,269
Expiration
2026-07-15
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoo

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 54¢ means the market is pricing in a 54.1% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,985,704) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,123,269) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina is the team that officially advances from this match to the next round of the FIFA World Cup, or is crowned winner of the competition if this match is the final. This includes advancement after regulation, extra time, a penalty shoo

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-15. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 54¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 46¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 54¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 54.1% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,985,704 in total traded volume and $2,123,269 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-15. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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