economy

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-06-21 Volume$9,502 Open Interest$11,406
YES
77¢
Implied probability: 77.5%
NO
22¢
Implied probability: 22.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 77¢ · High 77¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
77¢
NO Price
22¢
Total Volume
$9,502
Open Interest
$11,406
Expiration
2026-06-21
Days Left
19
About this market

What resolves this contract

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing bod

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 77¢ means the market is pricing in a 77.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,502) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($11,406) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing bod

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-21, 19 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 77¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 22¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 77¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 77.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,502 in total traded volume and $11,406 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-02. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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