economy

Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-06-14 Volume$9,569 Open Interest$12,715
YES
24¢
Implied probability: 24.5%
NO
75¢
Implied probability: 75.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 24¢ · High 24¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Kalshi · $25 sign-up bonus Trade event contracts legally in the US. Get $25 free. Kalshi is the CFTC-regulated US exchange for event contracts. Sign up with our link and get $25 in trading credit, no deposit required to claim. This specific contract is on Polymarket (not available to US traders), but Kalshi lists similar events. Open an account →
YES Price
24¢
NO Price
75¢
Total Volume
$9,569
Open Interest
$12,715
Expiration
2026-06-14
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner dete

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 24¢ means the market is pricing in a 24.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,569) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($12,715) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? $992,158
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? 71¢ $991,270
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? $982,313
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Aurora Gaming and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 14 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z wins 2 or more maps than Aurora Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner dete

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-06-14. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 24¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 76¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 24¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 24.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,569 in total traded volume and $12,715 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-06-14. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
Get new posts in your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.