economy

Granby: August Holmgren vs Yosuke Watanuki

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-07-20 Volume$9,746 Open Interest$15,640
YES
50¢
Implied probability: 50.3%
NO
49¢
Implied probability: 49.7%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 50¢ · High 50¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
50¢
NO Price
49¢
Total Volume
$9,746
Open Interest
$15,640
Expiration
2026-07-20
Days Left
7
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Yosuke Watanuki in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 50¢ means the market is pricing in a 50.3% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,746) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($15,640) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Yosuke Watanuki in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-07-20, 7 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 50¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 50¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 50¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 50.3% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,746 in total traded volume and $15,640 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-07-13. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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