Madrid Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
What resolves this contract
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match
How to read the price
Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 36¢ means the market is pricing in a 36.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.
Volume vs. open interest
Total traded volume ($9,866) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($92,722) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.
Where to trade this market
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.
Markets in the same story
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|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | 30¢ | $973,929 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | 1¢ | $959,467 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | 2¢ | $99,801 |
Common questions about this market
How is this market resolved?
This market refers to the tennis match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Bautista Agut' if Roberto Bautista Agut advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Roberto Bautista Agut. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match
When does this contract expire?
This contract closes on 2026-04-29, 8 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).
What happens if I buy YES at 36¢?
If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 , a profit of 64¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 36¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 36.5% probability of YES.
Where is this market listed?
This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.
How reliable is the quoted price?
This market has $9,866 in total traded volume and $92,722 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.