sports

Will the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-10-05 Volume$9,649 Open Interest$1,117
YES
55¢
Implied probability: 55.5%
NO
44¢
Implied probability: 44.5%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 55¢ · High 55¢ · Δ +0.0pp
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YES Price
55¢
NO Price
44¢
Total Volume
$9,649
Open Interest
$1,117
Expiration
2026-10-05
Days Left
16
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Texas Rangers to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible repo

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at 55¢ means the market is pricing in a 55.5% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,649) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($1,117) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

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FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to "O 80.5" if the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Texas Rangers to record more than 80.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 80.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible repo

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-10-05, 16 days from now. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 55¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1, a profit of 44¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 55¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 55.5% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,649 in total traded volume and $1,117 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-09-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.
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