weather

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?

PlatformPolymarket Expires2026-04-19 Volume$9,915 Open Interest$2,952
YES
Implied probability: 1.0%
NO
99¢
Implied probability: 99.9%
30-DAY PROBABILITY HISTORY Low 1¢ · High 1¢ · Δ +0.0pp
Advertisement
Polymarket · Trade with crypto Want to trade this market? Polymarket settles in USDC on the Polygon blockchain. Sign up in under 3 minutes with MetaMask or any Web3 wallet. Open on Polymarket →
YES Price
NO Price
99¢
Total Volume
$9,915
Open Interest
$2,952
Expiration
2026-04-19
Days Left
0
About this market

What resolves this contract

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting betwe

How to read the price

Prediction market prices are expressed in cents on the dollar. A YES contract trading at means the market is pricing in a 1.0% implied probability of the event resolving YES. If resolution comes back YES, the contract pays $1. If NO, it pays $0.

Volume vs. open interest

Total traded volume ($9,915) reflects every buy and sell across the life of this contract. Open interest ($2,952) is the dollar value of positions currently held by traders. Deep liquidity and wide open interest are the two signals that the quoted price is reliable.

Where to trade this market

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds does not accept deposits, execute trades, or offer brokerage. We publish the data; you decide what to do with it.

Advertisement
Related

Markets in the same story

MarketYESVolume
Will the **high temp in LA** be >80° on Apr 18, 2026: 81° or above $72,810
Will the high temp in Chicago be <65° on Apr 18, 2026: 64° or below 99¢ $53,656
Will the **high temp in LA** be 75-76° on Apr 18, 2026: 75° to 76° 99¢ $48,336
FAQ

Common questions about this market

How is this market resolved?

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting betwe

When does this contract expire?

This contract closes on 2026-04-19. After close, the final outcome is determined per the resolution rules above, and contracts settle at $1 (winning side) or $0 (losing side).

What happens if I buy YES at 1¢?

If the event resolves YES, each YES contract pays $1 — a profit of 99¢ per dollar risked. If it resolves NO, the contract pays $0 and the full 1¢ is lost. Current market price implies a 1.0% probability of YES.

Where is this market listed?

This contract is listed on Polymarket. PicksByOdds aggregates and displays public market data; we do not broker trades or custody funds.

How reliable is the quoted price?

This market has $9,915 in total traded volume and $2,952 in open interest. Deeper liquidity generally means tighter spreads and more reliable implied probabilities. Prices refresh multiple times per day.

Disclaimer: Prediction market data on this page is sourced from public order books. Prices change continuously; figures shown here reflect the last refresh at 2026-04-19. Nothing on this page constitutes investment or betting advice.