Today's top edges across 297 tracked Kalshi and Polymarket markets.
Kalshi's favorite range for today's high, next to the National Weather Service forecast for the same station.
| City | Market favorite | NWS forecast |
|---|---|---|
| New York high at Central Park | 67 to 68 53% on Kalshi | 67° same range the market favors |
| Los Angeles high at LAX | 80 to 81 41% on Kalshi | 80° same range the market favors |
Markets that have moved the most in tracked window.
| Market | YES | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price range on Sep 23, 2026: $94,750 to 94,999.99 crypto · Kalshi | 1¢ | -69.0pp since start |
| Dogecoin price range on Sep 23, 2026: $0.13 to 0.1349999 crypto · Kalshi | 3¢ | -67.0pp since start |
| Will the maximum temperature be 67-68° on Sep 22, 2026: 67° to 68° weather · Kalshi | 99¢ | +62.0pp since start |
| Will above 80000 jobs be added in October 2026: 80,000 economy · Kalshi | 95¢ | +50.0pp since start |
| Will the maximum temperature be 77-78° on Sep 22, 2026: 77° to 78° weather · Kalshi | 99¢ | +47.0pp since start |
Total traded so far on each market. Where the real money is concentrated.
| Market | YES | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? politics · Polymarket | 1¢ | $9,677,709 traded |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? sports · Polymarket | 48¢ | $999,216 traded |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? tech · Polymarket | 3¢ | $996,874 traded |
| Will Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? sports · Polymarket | 1¢ | $988,524 traded |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on... economy · Polymarket | 1¢ | $987,095 traded |
Low-probability events with meaningful liquidity.
| Market | YES | Signal |
|---|---|---|
| Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? tech · Polymarket | 4¢ | 4.5% implied |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? world · Polymarket | 4¢ | 4.3% implied |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? tech · Polymarket | 6¢ | 6.5% implied |
| NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? sports · Polymarket | 2¢ | 2.8% implied |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30? world · Polymarket | 3¢ | 3.0% implied |